Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 5.485523 6.394063 7.372286 8.499871 9.759656 11.119722 12.694882
2025-03-23 4.195250 5.420683 6.844784 8.605521 10.706526 13.115523 16.067745
2025-03-30 3.187506 4.551349 6.255363 8.501671 11.342619 14.772400 19.178194
2025-04-06 2.329719 3.685488 5.507046 8.062102 11.474764 15.793186 21.577959
2025-04-13 1.700375 2.985482 4.841406 7.604642 11.487957 16.616492 23.747230
2025-04-20 1.428737 2.741070 4.753656 7.897821 12.496683 18.773058 27.748680
2025-04-27 1.290236 2.672775 4.904027 8.531478 14.012016 21.690098 32.915632
2025-05-04 1.142691 2.556019 4.954271 9.005359 15.315949 24.374659 37.890225
2025-05-11 0.947306 2.309635 4.752605 9.052703 15.970954 26.156579 41.674023
2025-05-18 0.747636 2.006165 4.402867 8.810079 16.143034 27.223162 44.464136
2025-05-25 0.593465 1.754863 4.102291 8.604975 16.338937 28.311285 47.307213
2025-06-01 0.485666 1.575924 3.905770 8.550279 16.758608 29.740148 50.691563
2025-06-08 0.385325 1.388923 3.669679 8.409217 17.042369 31.004654 53.940156
2025-06-15 0.348663 1.355941 3.746796 8.860020 18.367474 33.977178 59.922837
2025-06-22 0.292004 1.249802 3.648702 8.961008 19.084551 36.004736 64.520586
2025-06-29 0.219838 1.068726 3.347813 8.621668 18.983351 36.684195 67.021634
2025-07-06 0.159951 0.897243 3.031968 8.206780 18.700681 37.032610 68.991370
2025-07-13 0.142741 0.871536 3.075392 8.559400 19.877071 39.891913 75.109493
2025-07-20 0.139866 0.901825 3.270124 9.260273 21.757244 44.024709 83.428729
2025-07-27 0.130416 0.901294 3.381192 9.781689 23.313920 47.649184 91.010907
2025-08-03 0.108104 0.833416 3.293806 9.841709 23.965390 49.715431 96.070658
2025-08-10 0.082011 0.730172 3.082708 9.587940 23.969509 50.632454 99.230584
2025-08-17 0.062149 0.642750 2.897847 9.371782 24.028080 51.637975 102.557379